4 September 2004And it's not even closeDan Lovejoy has issued his Electoral College projection, and it flies in the face of all this "dead heat" stuff we're hearing from Big Media: Bush 341, Kerry 197. In this scenario, the Pacific Coast (except Alaska) and New England (except New Hampshire) go blue, and Kerry picks up Iowa and Illinois; Pennsylvania, New York and New Jersey; Maryland and Delaware; and the District of Columbia leaving a mere thirty-five red states. Why is this happening?
Kerry will lose in November, not because America adores President Bush, but because the Democrats nominated a terrible candidate.
Of course, getting 63 percent of the electoral vote doesn't mean that Mr Bush will get anywhere near 63 percent of the popular vote, but I figure 50.0001 should be more than sufficient. Posted at 11:13 AM to Political Science FictionKerry will lose in November, not because America adores President Bush, but because the Democrats nominated a terrible candidate. SPIN it, brother! Posted by: McGehee at 3:24 PM on 4 September 2004Spin? Moi? (doing my best Miss Piggy voice) McGeehee- if you think it's spin, leave me a specific comment so I can correct it or refute. The pullquote above comes from my analysis of a Zogby poll. I wasn't attempting any gymnastics. Posted by: Dan at 11:11 PM on 4 September 2004The excerpt in italics in my comment would be embraced by the DNC spinmeisters with great enthusiasm after a Bush victory. My response was aimed at them. They would like nothing better than to explain a defeat for their candidate as having nothing to do with great support for Bush, or with anything Bush has done as President or as a candidate. They'll happily smear their own guy as incompetent rather than admit they're actually losing on ideas. Posted by: McGehee at 5:37 PM on 5 September 2004 |