Don’t buck the Huck

Michael Bates runs the numbers on Oklahoma Republicans, and concludes that if their first choice is not John McCain, regardless of their actual preference they should vote for Mike Huckabee:

If you’re an Oklahoma Republican and want Mike Huckabee to have a chance at the nomination, vote for Huckabee. You won’t be accidentally helping McCain.

If you’re an Oklahoma Republican and want Mitt Romney to have a chance at the nomination, vote for Huckabee, even if you don’t particularly like Huckabee. Huckabee has the best shot at denying McCain the delegates and the win here in Oklahoma and thus at slowing McCain’s national momentum, which would give Romney the opportunity to fight on.

If you’re an Oklahoma Republican and you don’t like anyone left in the race — this is my category — vote for Huckabee. Denying McCain a win here helps to stop his momentum and leaves the door open for a new candidate to be chosen at the convention.

It appears that this might work in other states where Huckabee is running second to McCain, as the polls say he is in Oklahoma. And Bates offers a generalized version:

It comes down to this: If you don’t want McCain to be the nominee, you need to vote for the non-McCain candidate who has the best poll numbers in your state.

Emphasis in the original. I am not a Republican, but should McCain prevail, I’ll have no trouble voting against him in November.





6 comments

  1. Tatyana »

    3 February 2008 · 6:47 pm

    What’s the method in your classification – which posts go to Vent and which – here?
    Both seem political, both express similar ideas.

  2. CGHill »

    3 February 2008 · 6:59 pm

    Generally, if it gets up to 6k or so, it’s better off as a Vent.

    And some of the Vents are, shall we say, quite a bit more personal.

  3. McGehee »

    4 February 2008 · 7:34 pm

    vote for Huckabee. You won’t be accidentally helping McCain.

    That, as they might say in my old Sacramento neighborhood (especially these days) is la caca del toro. I can’t think of any reason why Huckabee is even still in the race, if not to help McCain.

  4. McGehee »

    5 February 2008 · 10:29 am

    Having now cast my Super Tuesday ballot, and taken several deep breaths, I’ll just offer in defense of my comment that I have never liked the “prisoners’ dilemma” setup.

    Not being anybody’s prisoner…

  5. Allen »

    6 February 2008 · 5:55 pm

    Charles-

    How about getting an RSS feed of the Vents? I cruise through your site using FeedDemon. I thought they were just occasional missives and didn’t realize they are quite a bit more extensive.

    As to the voting, I blow hot-then-cold about a ‘None of the Above’ on the ballot. If ‘None of the Above’ wins, all of the candidates would have to get a real job for a while. Then they could come back to politics.

  6. CGHill »

    6 February 2008 · 7:33 pm

    Actually, the Vents were never integrated with the blog: they’re hand-coded and occupy their own space. I suppose it would be possible to gin up an RSS feed for them manually, but it’s not what you’d call high on my list of priorities. (I can’t even get the existing feed to reflect blockquotes correctly, fercrissake.)

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