Paying for all this war stuff

Bruce Bartlett floats this notion in Forbes:

History shows that wars financed heavily by higher taxes, such as the Korean War and the first Gulf War, end quickly, while those financed largely by deficits, such as the Vietnam War and current Middle East conflicts, tend to drag on indefinitely.

However, Chris Lawrence says that history doesn’t show any such thing:

How about a more plausible explanation: Korea and Gulf War I were conflicts against state actors that fought using traditional military tactics, while Vietnam and the Middle Eastern conflicts (particularly in Afghanistan) were/are conflicts mostly involving indigenous, non-state resistance movements or terrorist cells with some degree of local popular support (the Viet Cong, Iraqi Shiite and Sunni extremists and al-Qaeda, and the Taliban and al-Qaeda, respectively) that are engaged in unconventional warfare. The mode of funding would seem to have little to do with conflict length. Particularly since World Wars I and II were also funded by massive deficit spending, yet U.S. involvement in both conflicts was comparatively brief (although not on the order of Gulf War I).

“History,” in some circles, apparently means “that period including the events we want you to notice, and not including the events we prefer you not to notice.”

With regard to Vietnam specifically, there is a fiscal factor, though not the one Bartlett thinks. Dr Lawrence continues:

[T]he Johnson-Nixon era’s massive expansion of the deficit-financed American welfare state would be a serious conflating factor in attributing Vietnam’s success or failure to its funding approach, much as the effects of the Bush tax cuts likely dwarfed Iraq and Afghanistan spending as a source of the increased budget deficit over the past eight years and change; the liberal CBPP think-tank attributes the effects of one year (2004) of the Bush tax cuts as being $276 billion in reduced tax revenues (and thus increased debt), far more than the annualized cost to the Treasury of both conflicts combined even based on the most pessimistic estimates.

Which is not, however, an argument for extended periods of war on the basis that they really don’t cost all that much: as the phrase goes, there is a price you can’t state in dollars.

This, however, is. Bartlett again:

As Boston University historian Robert Dallek told Obama at a White House meeting earlier this year, “war kills off great reform movements.” He cited the impact of World War I in ending the Progressive Era, World War II in killing the New Deal, the Korean War in terminating Harry Truman’s Fair Deal program and the Vietnam War in crushing Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society.

Too late to inform Edwin Starr, I suppose.





4 comments

  1. Brian J. »

    7 December 2009 · 7:43 am

    I think they’re paraphrasing Dallek. Certainly, he would have expressed it as “Ex-ter-mi-nate! Ex-ter-mi-nate!”

  2. Pergelator »

    7 December 2009 · 8:01 am

    Quote of the Day…

    Republicans will have to choose between fighting a war,”or raising taxes, which every Republican in Congress would rather drink arsenic than do.” From an article in Forbes: The Cost Of War by Bruce Bartlett. …

  3. unimpressed »

    8 December 2009 · 3:32 am

    Please, don’t stop doing these. I like ’em.

  4. unimpressed »

    8 December 2009 · 3:32 am

    Crap. Wrong one….

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