30 April 2007
A dash of humility
And they work for the government, yet. Here's a shortly-after-noon Forecast Discussion from the local National Weather Service office:
Persistence of the previous forecast along with 12Z model consensus will be the primary tools aiding this forecast. But given the unusually moist environment along with low [convective inhibition] and a small upper low influencing the region through midweek ... forecaster confidence is below normal.
(Original in all caps due to TTY distribution.)
Of course, this is a difficult area to predict anyway, except during midsummer. (Sunny. Hot. High 99. Low 76. Rinse once every two weeks. Repeat.) And we're kicking into May, traditionally the wettest month of the year, already up 4 inches over climatological projections.Posted at 6:10 PM to Weather or Not