14 September 2004
Do you know what it means to miss New Orleans?
Paul at Wizbang describes what happens if Ivan comes ashore at the worst possible place:
The tidal surge will top the levees and the bowl will fill from river to lake. The studies say that if we took a direct hit from a category 4 or 5 storm, a city of one million people could be under as much as 30 feet of water. According to the experts there could be over 50,000 dead. What's more, since we would have to pump the water out the bowl, they say the city could be underwater for as long as 10 months.
I'm hundreds of miles away and I'm coming down with the chills.
Posted at 9:00 PM to Dyssynergy
Call me cynical, but when you've read and heard enough of what "could" happen in every imaginable horror-story scenario, especially from the Weather Wizards, these types of 'what would happen if' stories don't move me like they used to. Probably because the worst-case scenarios usually don't materialize. I know damage and death occur. I realize that; however, these types of virtual sci-fi plots just heighten the anxiety among people vulnerable to these conditions and worsen the panic, IMO.
There is, of course, a tendency to harp on the worst, perhaps because if it happens and you didn't say so, somebody will want to sue you.
I was in Grand Forks, North Dakota this summer, seven years after their "100-year" flood; even in areas close to the river, I didn't pick up any sense of lingering trauma. Yes, there was destruction, a lot of it, but they cleaned up, they rebuilt, and they went on with their lives. I rather expect something similar will happen in any town to which Ivan delivers a knockout punch.