Steve Sailer, perhaps to stir the pot a little bit, has imagined two different scenarios in which we’d already had a black President:
- Walter Mondale picks Tom Bradley for the Veep slot in 1984, manages to beat a rattled-in-the-debates Ronald Reagan, and is killed when Air Force One crashes;
- Colin Powell, urged on by Mrs Powell, defeats Bob Dole, then Bill Clinton, in 1996.
Given either one of these scenarios, Sailer asks:
In either alternative history, does Barack Obama become the second black President? If there had already been a first black president, would anyone have ever even considered Obama to be Presidential Timber? Would you have ever even heard of Obama?
Sailer’s commentariat, at the moment, seems to be evenly split among Yes, No, and Blame the Jews. I figure we have fewer axes to grind here, so I’ve imported the question. (I lean towards No, but I’m willing to be shown the error of my ways, if such it be.)