The various versions of the GOP’s new tax scheme have not won overwhelming popularity. (I’m not keen on it, though it would be worth $1200 or so to me in the first year; all they did was shuffle a deck of tax breaks, and the new tax code is no simpler than the old one.) Why, then, are they so insistent on getting this passed? An actual political scientist of my acquaintance explains it in fewer than 280 characters:
1. They expect to lose anyway in 2018. 2. They have to deliver something to make their base happy.
3. It puts Democrats in the unpopular position of having to raise taxes to restore the status quo ante.
4. It forces a future Congress to act or otherwise people's taxes go up. https://t.co/vr7bElgtIy
— Chris Lawrence 🎄 (@lordsutch) December 19, 2017
The only one of these I’d question is #2: since when is the Republican Party concerned with the desires of its base?